在2019年第三季度的中国智能手机市场,5G商用成为最大关注点。极光发布的《2019年Q3智能手机市场洞察报告》指出,5G市场争夺战,比拼的不仅是手机厂商谁拔得5G手机发布的头筹,更在于谁能掌握更大规模的存量用户。
保有率指的是存量用户占比,反映了品牌的用户忠诚度。从2019年第三季度的国内主流智能手机品牌保有率分布来看,华为系手机(含华为手机和荣耀手机)合计保有率排名第一,苹果、OPPO、vivo、小米分列二到五位。华为近30%的存量用户份额,为其5G生态的落地打下了基础。
华为系领先,OPPO等掉队
近日,中国信通院最新的数据显示,2019年1-11月,国内手机市场总体出货量3.58亿部,同比下降5.4%,其中5G手机835.5万部。
而11月5G手机出货量为507.4万部。这意味着大部分5G手机都是11月当月卖出的。
受5G影响,手机市场有回暖迹象。市场研究及咨询公司Counterpoint发布的报告显示,第三季度,中国智能手机市场同比下滑5%,但环比增长3%,相比前两季度有所缓和。
在近日举行的小米2020新品效大会上,小米集团互联网商业部总经理白鹏表示,年底手机厂商纷纷推新品,因为2020年5G手机换机潮就来临了,而5G+换机潮必将引发新一轮的流量潮。
值得注意的是,昔日市场排名前五,甚至一度力压三星的OPPO,至今没一款在售的5G手机。
根据Counterpoint的报告显示,OPPO前三季度线上份额约5%,在主要品牌中线上占比较低,排名已经滑出前五。
26日,OPPO首款5G手机OPPO Reno3 Pro才正式发布。12月31日开售,3399元起售。除了苹果,这是在几大手机厂商里面最晚推出5G手机的。
展望2020年5G手机之战
2019虽然被称为“5G元年”,但5G手机市场刚刚起步。
工信部信通院公布最新数据显示,2019年8-10月,我国5G手机出货量分别为21.9万部、49.7万部和249.4万部,分别占比同期当月手机整体出货量的0.9%、1.4%和6.9%。
但在5G网络加速建设、终端厂商新品发布密集,以及用户的高度热情共同推动下,中国5G手机的市场爆发将会很快来临。
业界预计,中国5G基站数量将从2019年底的10万个,迅速扩大至2020年底的100万个,基本完成全国城市市场的覆盖。
来自中国移动的用户调研结果显示,99%的移动平台受访者回复 “知道5G”, 64%受访者表示“自己对5G拥有认知”,42%受访者表示“会主动了解5G”。结果显示中国大部分消费者已对5G拥有认知,对5G的期待也较为强烈。
目前中国市场5G商用机型在20款左右。Counterpoint报告预测2020年,中国市场5G手机产品预计将突破100款,并于第三至第四季度覆盖至2000元以下中端及中低端价位段,5G手机在中国市场的出货量2020年预计将超过1.5亿台。
产品方面,中国已经明确2020年1月1日起将不再支持单模NSA 5G手机检测入网,因此在SA+NSA 5G双模芯片具备明显先发优势的华为+荣耀具备了非常强劲的领跑优势。
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